留意以平台劃分的收入分類,
For the five-year period starting from 2024, we expect our long-term revenue growth to approach a 20% CAGR in US dollar term, fueled by all four of our growth platforms, which are smartphone, HPC, IoT and automotive.
For the five-year period starting from 2024, we expect our long-term revenue growth to approach a 20% CAGR in US dollar term, fueled by all four of our growth platforms, which are smartphone, HPC, IoT and automotive.
Stock | portfolio % |
VOO | 17.29% |
NVDA | 14.80% |
MSFT | 13.96% |
TSM | 10.72% |
US-T GOVT Note 4.25 31Dec'25 | 9.38% |
US-T GOVT Note 2.75 31Aug'25 | 9.34% |
AAPL | 5.66% |
AMD | 5.06% |
AMZN | 4.19% |
NTDOY | 3.88% |
DDOG | 2.48% |
TSLA | 0.91% |
900 | 1.78% |
1830 | 0.53% |
Stock | portfolio |
VOO | 16.84% |
NVDA | 14.53% |
MSFT | 14.45% |
TSM | 10.54% |
US-T Note 4.25 31Dec'25 | 10.19% |
US-T Note 2.75 31Aug'25 | 10.13% |
AAPL | 6.16% |
AMZN | 4.42% |
NTDOY | 3.73% |
AMD | 3.10% |
DDOG | 2.47% |
TSLA | 0.94% |
1830 | 0.77% |
0900 | 1.73% |
For the five-year period starting from 2024, we expect our long-term revenue growth to approach a 20% CAGR in US dollar term, fueled by all four of our growth platforms, which are smartphone, HPC, IoT and automotive.
Stock | portfolio % |
NVDA | 16.7 |
TSM | 13.1 |
VOO | 12.29 |
MSFT | 10.48 |
AAPL | 10.38 |
US-T GOVT Note 4.25 31 Dec'25 | 8.28 |
US-T GOVT Note 2.75 31 Aug'25 | 8.18 |
AMD | 5.01 |
ADBE | 4.61 |
AMZN | 3.64 |
DDOG | 2.37 |
NTDOY | 2.12 |
0900 | 1.24 |
TSLA | 1 |
1830 | 0.59 |
Rule number one: never lose money. Rule number two: Never forget rule number one.
But apologies to state the obvious, but investors aren't, you know, that excited or are showing that excitement. The stock is a major under-performer on a year-to-date date. It's down again on an after-hours basis today. And I would point to it's the lack of acceleration that we're seeing in the numbers, right? Digital Media net new ARR this quarter grew just -- or in Creative Cloud grew 2%.
You're guiding to decelerating growth into the forward year despite all this innovation. And I think the question that it brings up in investors' mind is, is there some leak in the bucket, right? All this innovation, new monetization avenues, pricing going up, but the growth is going in the wrong direction. Like is there a part of the equation that's not working? Is there share losses? Is there something that we're not seeing that is taking away that momentum in the numbers that's not -- sort of not in the acceleration in the numbers, if you will?
And as long as our growth outlook remains strong, we will continue to invest. Now as C.C. said, next year looks to be a healthy year. So, it is very likely that our capex next year will be higher than this year.
現時只能等待Q4業績時,管理層正式公佈明年capex時才能確認。
all my customers want to put their AI functionality into the edge devices and so the die size will be increased, OK? How much? I mean, it's different from my customer to customer's product.But basically, probably 5% to 10% die size increase will be a general rule
Stock | portfolio % |
NVDA | 17.58 |
MSFT | 13.19 |
VOO | 12.72 |
TSM | 11.86 |
AMD | 9.99 |
US-T GOVT Bill Aug08'24 | 9.32 |
AAPL | 7.69 |
ADBE | 6.59 |
AMZN | 3.67 |
NTDOY | 2.46 |
DDOG | 2.21 |
TSLA | 1.39 |
1830 | 0.77 |
900 | 0.56 |
But, there’s a huge problem with this logic—there is nothing that says that these metrics have to return to their long-term averages. In fact, I believe the opposite. Valuation multiples are likely to stay above their historical norms for the foreseeable future. Why?